# Latest **URL:** https://community.intuitivebayes.com/latest.md [Latest](https://community.intuitivebayes.com/latest.md) · [Categories](https://community.intuitivebayes.com/categories.md) · [Tags](https://community.intuitivebayes.com/tags.md) --- ## [Welcome to the Intuitive Bayes Community](https://community.intuitivebayes.com/t/welcome-to-the-intuitive-bayes-community/7)
**Author:** [@system](https://community.intuitivebayes.com/u/system)\ **Replies:** 0\ **Last updated:** [March 23, 2022, 3:47am UTC](https://community.intuitivebayes.com/t/welcome-to-the-intuitive-bayes-community/7 "2022-03-23T03:47:37Z")
Welcome to the Intuitive Bayes community. Here is where you’ll be able to connect with a wide distribution of folks. whether its the instructors and Bayes experts, The community is here is to help you learn both individ… --- ## [Causal Inference Bookshelf](https://community.intuitivebayes.com/t/causal-inference-bookshelf/434)
**Author:** [@RavinKumar](https://community.intuitivebayes.com/u/RavinKumar)\ **Replies:** 9\ **Last updated:** [March 30, 2024, 5:45am UTC](https://community.intuitivebayes.com/t/causal-inference-bookshelf/434 "2024-03-30T05:45:20Z")
The discussion this morning contained references to numerous causal inference resources and the obvious thing to do is share them all in one place, so this is that topic! The Effect Causal Reasoning: Fundamentals an… --- ## [Session 6: AI Red Teaming and LLAMA 2 Deep Dive](https://community.intuitivebayes.com/t/session-6-ai-red-teaming-and-llama-2-deep-dive/1159)
**Author:** [@RavinKumar](https://community.intuitivebayes.com/u/RavinKumar)\ **Replies:** 0\ **Last updated:** [August 20, 2023, 12:23am UTC](https://community.intuitivebayes.com/t/session-6-ai-red-teaming-and-llama-2-deep-dive/1159 "2023-08-20T00:23:06Z")
Hey all, Next session will be August 27th at 8 am. In this session I’ll talk more about the DefCON GRT event that I helped put on and then we’ll do a deep dive into the LLAMA 2 paper. This session will likely be a lot … --- ## [Structural Time Series- additional resources](https://community.intuitivebayes.com/t/structural-time-series-additional-resources/1154)
**Author:** [@galkampel](https://community.intuitivebayes.com/u/galkampel)\ **Replies:** 1\ **Last updated:** [August 15, 2023, 5:32am UTC](https://community.intuitivebayes.com/t/structural-time-series-additional-resources/1154 "2023-08-15T05:32:39Z")
Hi all, I know that originally there was an intention to go through structural time series as well (which I think was not covered at the end). Does anybody know of any good resources about this topic (except from the K… --- ## [Session 4: Mid year break](https://community.intuitivebayes.com/t/session-4-mid-year-break/1134)
**Author:** [@RavinKumar](https://community.intuitivebayes.com/u/RavinKumar)\ **Replies:** 2\ **Last updated:** [August 9, 2023, 5:00pm UTC](https://community.intuitivebayes.com/t/session-4-mid-year-break/1134 "2023-08-09T17:00:40Z")
Hey folks, I don’t like to schedule sessions with less than 24 hour notices but this one will need to be an exception. Tomorrow I’ll do a lighter session covering the next set of topics, some cool events in the AI spac… --- ## [Session 3: More Complicated NN Architectures Reading List](https://community.intuitivebayes.com/t/session-3-more-complicated-nn-architectures-reading-list/1098)
**Author:** [@RavinKumar](https://community.intuitivebayes.com/u/RavinKumar)\ **Replies:** 2\ **Last updated:** [May 28, 2023, 3:18pm UTC](https://community.intuitivebayes.com/t/session-3-more-complicated-nn-architectures-reading-list/1098 "2023-05-28T15:18:37Z")
Hey Folks, The tentative date for our next session is two weeks from now, on June 4th. As of now we’ll be studying More complicated NN structures such as Deeper Dense Networks CNNs and why differing network architec… --- ## [Session 2: Basic Neural Nets Reading List](https://community.intuitivebayes.com/t/session-2-basic-neural-nets-reading-list/1084)
**Author:** [@RavinKumar](https://community.intuitivebayes.com/u/RavinKumar)\ **Replies:** 3\ **Last updated:** [May 21, 2023, 2:30pm UTC](https://community.intuitivebayes.com/t/session-2-basic-neural-nets-reading-list/1084 "2023-05-21T14:30:11Z")
In this session we’re going to cover the basics of Neural nets. implementing them ourselves end to end in Flax. We’ll talk about The mathematics of the model How parameters are estimated All the pieces in estimation s… --- ## [The importance of shapes](https://community.intuitivebayes.com/t/the-importance-of-shapes/1089)
**Author:** [@RavinKumar](https://community.intuitivebayes.com/u/RavinKumar)\ **Replies:** 0\ **Last updated:** [May 14, 2023, 5:01pm UTC](https://community.intuitivebayes.com/t/the-importance-of-shapes/1089 "2023-05-14T17:01:21Z")
Stephen explains it quite well here --- ## [LLMs Study Plan and First Steps](https://community.intuitivebayes.com/t/llms-study-plan-and-first-steps/1062)
**Author:** [@RavinKumar](https://community.intuitivebayes.com/u/RavinKumar)\ **Replies:** 12\ **Last updated:** [May 12, 2023, 1:59pm UTC](https://community.intuitivebayes.com/t/llms-study-plan-and-first-steps/1062 "2023-05-12T13:59:23Z")
Hey Folks, If you haven’t introduced yourself please do so! It’s great to get to know each other. Once you’ve done that, here’s the study plan and goals. Each session will be spaced roughly 1 to 3 weeks apart. Its sti… --- ## [What do you know about LLMS, and what do you not know?](https://community.intuitivebayes.com/t/what-do-you-know-about-llms-and-what-do-you-not-know/1070)
**Author:** [@RavinKumar](https://community.intuitivebayes.com/u/RavinKumar)\ **Replies:** 3\ **Last updated:** [May 9, 2023, 9:10pm UTC](https://community.intuitivebayes.com/t/what-do-you-know-about-llms-and-what-do-you-not-know/1070 "2023-05-09T21:10:50Z")
To make this book club most useful for let me know what know, and what you don’t know! By doing both you’ll also implicitly tell me what you don’t know that you don’t know. And with all three sets we can maximize the us… --- ## [Open Source LLMs and Coding](https://community.intuitivebayes.com/t/open-source-llms-and-coding/1069)
**Author:** [@RavinKumar](https://community.intuitivebayes.com/u/RavinKumar)\ **Replies:** 2\ **Last updated:** [May 9, 2023, 8:45pm UTC](https://community.intuitivebayes.com/t/open-source-llms-and-coding/1069 "2023-05-09T20:45:38Z")
@ChadDelany and @Lukelb12 asked about coding and open source LLMs. Here’s a post from just 6 hours ago about both. Later on in this book club ;et’s try this model out ourselves! --- ## [The Hot Topic thread for LLMs/AI](https://community.intuitivebayes.com/t/the-hot-topic-thread-for-llms-ai/1079)
**Author:** [@ChadDelany](https://community.intuitivebayes.com/u/ChadDelany)\ **Replies:** 3\ **Last updated:** [May 9, 2023, 6:54pm UTC](https://community.intuitivebayes.com/t/the-hot-topic-thread-for-llms-ai/1079 "2023-05-09T18:54:02Z")
General media posts about LLMs. --- ## [Dynamax for Multiple Time Series problems](https://community.intuitivebayes.com/t/dynamax-for-multiple-time-series-problems/1056)
**Author:** [@jroberayalas](https://community.intuitivebayes.com/u/jroberayalas)\ **Replies:** 3\ **Last updated:** [April 22, 2023, 7:17pm UTC](https://community.intuitivebayes.com/t/dynamax-for-multiple-time-series-problems/1056 "2023-04-22T19:17:15Z")
Hey folks, Just wondering if any of you has worked with multiple time series problems using the Dynamax library. I’m thinking on a problem where there are 100 time series with some trend and seasonality components (week… --- ## [Non Linear Gaussian SSMs reading list](https://community.intuitivebayes.com/t/non-linear-gaussian-ssms-reading-list/1043)
**Author:** [@RavinKumar](https://community.intuitivebayes.com/u/RavinKumar)\ **Replies:** 2\ **Last updated:** [April 9, 2023, 3:29pm UTC](https://community.intuitivebayes.com/t/non-linear-gaussian-ssms-reading-list/1043 "2023-04-09T15:29:08Z")
For these next couple of weeks we’ll be reading through the non Linear Gaussian SSM notebooks in the dynamax docs, as well as the associated chapters in the ProbML book. I have not identified those sections yet but when… --- ## [HMMs as bayesian networks](https://community.intuitivebayes.com/t/hmms-as-bayesian-networks/993)
**Author:** [@nrakocz](https://community.intuitivebayes.com/u/nrakocz)\ **Replies:** 3\ **Last updated:** [April 6, 2023, 5:01pm UTC](https://community.intuitivebayes.com/t/hmms-as-bayesian-networks/993 "2023-04-06T17:01:51Z")
An HMM with N observations can also be modeled as a bayesian network with 2N nodes (N nodes for the hidden states, and N nodes for the observation. Once modeled as a Bayesian Network, it is possible to answer any query … --- ## [Linear Gaussian Synchronous Session April 2nd at 8am PST](https://community.intuitivebayes.com/t/linear-gaussian-synchronous-session-april-2nd-at-8am-pst/1029)
**Author:** [@RavinKumar](https://community.intuitivebayes.com/u/RavinKumar)\ **Replies:** 0\ **Last updated:** [March 27, 2023, 6:43am UTC](https://community.intuitivebayes.com/t/linear-gaussian-synchronous-session-april-2nd-at-8am-pst/1029 "2023-03-27T06:43:04Z")
We’re back at it! Join us next week to talk about Linear Gaussian SSMs. Youtube link bellow, code repo will be updated soon Since it’s been a while I want to ask, what do folks want to talk about in particular? I’ve got… --- ## [Concrete examples: applied data sets](https://community.intuitivebayes.com/t/concrete-examples-applied-data-sets/916)
**Author:** [@Nforde](https://community.intuitivebayes.com/u/Nforde)\ **Replies:** 6\ **Last updated:** [March 21, 2023, 6:44pm UTC](https://community.intuitivebayes.com/t/concrete-examples-applied-data-sets/916 "2023-03-21T18:44:04Z")
Came across this example applied to earthquake prediction: https://hmmlearn.readthedocs.io/en/latest/auto\_examples/plot\_poisson\_hmm.html#sphx-glr-auto-examples-plot-poisson-hmm-py This kind of data makes the techniques… --- ## [How are folks doing with LG SSMs?](https://community.intuitivebayes.com/t/how-are-folks-doing-with-lg-ssms/1021)
**Author:** [@RavinKumar](https://community.intuitivebayes.com/u/RavinKumar)\ **Replies:** 1\ **Last updated:** [March 20, 2023, 11:21pm UTC](https://community.intuitivebayes.com/t/how-are-folks-doing-with-lg-ssms/1021 "2023-03-20T23:21:23Z")
Longest span since we haven’t had a session. We’ve still have another couple weeks to go before I’m back in the US, but since I’m in the southern hemisphere, and I flew here, I found the PDF below to be appropriate! Its… --- ## [Discrete Hidden Markov Model Livestream](https://community.intuitivebayes.com/t/discrete-hidden-markov-model-livestream/962)
**Author:** [@RavinKumar](https://community.intuitivebayes.com/u/RavinKumar)\ **Replies:** 2\ **Last updated:** [March 10, 2023, 11:43pm UTC](https://community.intuitivebayes.com/t/discrete-hidden-markov-model-livestream/962 "2023-03-10T23:43:09Z")
Hey folks, The discrete Hidden Markov Model livestream is scheduled for Sunday the 26th at 8am. Link to the livestream is below Let me know if there’s any specific topics you’re looking to dive into! --- ## [HMMs for time series with trend breaks](https://community.intuitivebayes.com/t/hmms-for-time-series-with-trend-breaks/1006)
**Author:** [@jroberayalas](https://community.intuitivebayes.com/u/jroberayalas)\ **Replies:** 1\ **Last updated:** [March 9, 2023, 1:16am UTC](https://community.intuitivebayes.com/t/hmms-for-time-series-with-trend-breaks/1006 "2023-03-09T01:16:55Z")
Hey folks, During the Autoregressive and Normal Emission Hidden Markov Models video, @RavinKumar mentioned the applicability of HMMs to time series data where a different forecasting model could be applied depending on … --- ## [Reading List for Linear Gaussian State Space Models](https://community.intuitivebayes.com/t/reading-list-for-linear-gaussian-state-space-models/1002)
**Author:** [@RavinKumar](https://community.intuitivebayes.com/u/RavinKumar)\ **Replies:** 0\ **Last updated:** [March 6, 2023, 3:19am UTC](https://community.intuitivebayes.com/t/reading-list-for-linear-gaussian-state-space-models/1002 "2023-03-06T03:19:53Z")
Our next live session will be sometime in April, to be determined after March 31st. Here’s our reading list till then! Primary Reading Tracking an object using the Kalman filter Online linear regression using Kalman f… --- ## [Mixed Models in HMMs](https://community.intuitivebayes.com/t/mixed-models-in-hmms/1000)
**Author:** [@Lukelb12](https://community.intuitivebayes.com/u/Lukelb12)\ **Replies:** 0\ **Last updated:** [March 5, 2023, 8:46pm UTC](https://community.intuitivebayes.com/t/mixed-models-in-hmms/1000 "2023-03-05T20:46:25Z")
Hey all, In the live stream today I was wondering about whether anyone has come across, or has experience, with HMMs which switch the underlying data generating distribution? So switching from a normal distribution to a… --- ## [Discrete HMM Round 2 Reading List](https://community.intuitivebayes.com/t/discrete-hmm-round-2-reading-list/983)
**Author:** [@RavinKumar](https://community.intuitivebayes.com/u/RavinKumar)\ **Replies:** 0\ **Last updated:** [February 27, 2023, 3:40am UTC](https://community.intuitivebayes.com/t/discrete-hmm-round-2-reading-list/983 "2023-02-27T03:40:04Z")
Hey folks, Hot off of our first HMM live session were going to do another one on March 5th at 8AM PST. Find us on Youtube here This time we’ll be focusing on two notebooks Gaussian HMM: Cross-validation and Mode… --- ## [Discrete HMM Reading List](https://community.intuitivebayes.com/t/discrete-hmm-reading-list/945)
**Author:** [@RavinKumar](https://community.intuitivebayes.com/u/RavinKumar)\ **Replies:** 2\ **Last updated:** [March 2, 2023, 1:45am UTC](https://community.intuitivebayes.com/t/discrete-hmm-reading-list/945 "2023-03-02T01:45:15Z")
Hey folks For the next session we will be focusing on Discrete HMMs. The next session will be live session will be on Sunday the 25th Our goal is to fully understand this formula \\begin{align} p(y\_{1:T}, z\_{1:T} \\mid… --- ## [What is your background, education, mathematics level?](https://community.intuitivebayes.com/t/what-is-your-background-education-mathematics-level/931)
**Author:** [@RavinKumar](https://community.intuitivebayes.com/u/RavinKumar)\ **Replies:** 23\ **Last updated:** [February 26, 2023, 5:51pm UTC](https://community.intuitivebayes.com/t/what-is-your-background-education-mathematics-level/931 "2023-02-26T17:51:20Z")
Hey folks, as I’m putting the Sunday livestream together I’m realizing some information on your backgrounds would help ensure its not too boring, but also not too advanced. Keep in mind you do not need to come in with l… --- ## [What are your goals for this club?](https://community.intuitivebayes.com/t/what-are-your-goals-for-this-club/893)
**Author:** [@RavinKumar](https://community.intuitivebayes.com/u/RavinKumar)\ **Replies:** 8\ **Last updated:** [February 21, 2023, 5:03am UTC](https://community.intuitivebayes.com/t/what-are-your-goals-for-this-club/893 "2023-02-21T05:03:33Z")
Here’s mine Deeply understand state space models from an inference and estimation persective Be able to read the mathematical notation surrounding state space models with ease Be able to code various types of State Spa… --- ## [Good YouTube videos for HMM intuition](https://community.intuitivebayes.com/t/good-youtube-videos-for-hmm-intuition/957)
**Author:** [@nrakocz](https://community.intuitivebayes.com/u/nrakocz)\ **Replies:** 0\ **Last updated:** [February 15, 2023, 5:53pm UTC](https://community.intuitivebayes.com/t/good-youtube-videos-for-hmm-intuition/957 "2023-02-15T17:53:51Z")
I All. I really enjoyed watching these videos ((ML 14.4) Hidden Markov models (HMMs) (part 1) - YouTube) when I first learned about HMMs. I still use them as references every now and then. --- ## [Is this the dot product?](https://community.intuitivebayes.com/t/is-this-the-dot-product/951)
**Author:** [@RavinKumar](https://community.intuitivebayes.com/u/RavinKumar)\ **Replies:** 3\ **Last updated:** [February 12, 2023, 3:15pm UTC](https://community.intuitivebayes.com/t/is-this-the-dot-product/951 "2023-02-12T15:15:34Z")
I’m reading through the HMM explainer and got to this symbol. i’m fairly sure they mean dot product but want to double check with you folks. Do we have the same interpretation? https://nipunbatra.github.io/hmm/ --- ## [Non-Concave emission function: Viterbi on Hidden Markov Model?](https://community.intuitivebayes.com/t/non-concave-emission-function-viterbi-on-hidden-markov-model/912)
**Author:** [@disadone](https://community.intuitivebayes.com/u/disadone)\ **Replies:** 9\ **Last updated:** [February 6, 2023, 12:44pm UTC](https://community.intuitivebayes.com/t/non-concave-emission-function-viterbi-on-hidden-markov-model/912 "2023-02-06T12:44:27Z")
Hi! I recently met a problem when I am using a non-concave emission function in Hidden Markov Model which is not allowed in the EM algorithm. I wonder whether Viterbi can avoid such a problem, allowing me to use a non-co… --- ## [Dynamax Feb 5th Session and Full reading list](https://community.intuitivebayes.com/t/dynamax-feb-5th-session-and-full-reading-list/924)
**Author:** [@RavinKumar](https://community.intuitivebayes.com/u/RavinKumar)\ **Replies:** 3\ **Last updated:** [February 5, 2023, 4:16am UTC](https://community.intuitivebayes.com/t/dynamax-feb-5th-session-and-full-reading-list/924 "2023-02-05T04:16:19Z")
Our next live session will be at 8am pst Feb 5th\*\*. Youtube link at the bottom of this post.\*\* This next session focus will be on fully understanding this on Equation 9.1 which is shown here. This equation covers all th… [Next page](https://community.intuitivebayes.com/latest.md?page=1)